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5

Let It Settle

5yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 90

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f

#5

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who showed improved form on first outing since leaving Gavin Patrick Cromwell when second of 23 in C&D handicap 24 days ago. Wasn't in same form at Wexford last time but claims if bouncing back now returned to this track with fully-fledged rider on board.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 25/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m71y Goo 15925/08C?5 @ Catterick 16/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f156y Goo 149C8 @ Punchestown 11/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR - · 2m122y Sft 15911/01C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 03/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 2m Sft 161C8 @ Punchestown 18/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 2m157y Sft 15118/02C8BHA93 @ Cork 06/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 93 · 2m Yie 161 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 93 parBHA91 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 91 · 2m3f116y Goo 161 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 91 par14/0591OR 91BHA88 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 23 · OR 88 · 2m1f60y Goo 156 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 88 parBHA90 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 90 · 2m150y Gd 162 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 90 par23/0790OR 90projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA906th6th0
2026-07-10CorkBHA882nd2nd0
2026-05-14ClonmelBHA9111th11th0
2026-04-06CorkBHA9314th14th0
2026-02-18Punchestown?12th12th0
2026-02-03Fairyhouse?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/083/0214/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20254th7/282%70%-0.12
16/12/20256th14/126%17%-0.10
11/01/202614th100/10%32%+0.32
03/02/202613th150/10%14%+0.14
18/02/202612th100/10%27%+0.27
06/04/202614th33/10%32%+0.32
14/05/202611th66/10%29%+0.29
10/07/20262nd50/10%95%+0.95
23/07/20266th11/271%44%-0.27