3

Midnight Musical

5yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 92

Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made an encouraging bumper debut at Galway last summer but went wrong way afterwards and has followed a similar trend in a trio of maiden hurdles this season. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 02/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m175y Gd 1622/08C?1 @ Cheltenham 15/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 2m87y Sft 15615/111C0 @ Fairyhouse 13/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR - · 2m Sft 15913/12C?1 @ Aintree 09/04/2026 · Pos 20th of 20 · OR - · 2m209y GS 1569/041C8 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f75y Goo 15115/05C8C8 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m4f50y Gd 1593/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 06/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m4f125y Gd 1516/07C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Roscommon?5th5th0
2026-07-03Wexford?8th8th0
2026-05-15Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-04-09Aintree120th20th0
2025-12-13Fairyhouse?14th14th0
2025-11-15Cheltenham111th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/089/046/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20252nd16/116%93%+0.77
15/11/202511th33/10%9%+0.09
13/12/202514th25/10%19%+0.19
09/04/202620th125/10%0%0.00
15/05/20265th2/189%73%-0.16
03/07/20268th20/10%46%+0.46
06/07/20265th50/10%67%+0.67