2
Pirate Island
8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 93
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f
#6
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cork | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-06 | Clonmel | BHA99 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA101 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Fairyhouse | BHA101 | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-01 | Navan | BHA105 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 05/02/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 09/03/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |
| 01/04/2024 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 15/02/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 01/03/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/04/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 06/06/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |