4
Toon Town
9yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 91
Cork · Follow Us On Instagram Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA94 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Killarney | BHA94 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cork | BHA91 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | BHA90 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Clonmel | BHA90 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 22/11/2024 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 16/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 74% | +0.26 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |