3

Carajillo

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f

#14

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

No impact in a pair of maiden hurdles in May. One for the longer term.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f75y Goo 15815/05C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Listowel?0
2026-05-15Kilbeggan?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 21
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20268th50/10%53%+0.53