
Devine Genius
4yo Gelding · 11-9
Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f
#20
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#20
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Killarney | BHA64 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA69 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA70 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Listowel | BHA71 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-07-19 | Down Royal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2024 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 17/05/2024 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 29/05/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 19/07/2024 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 19/08/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 22/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 15/07/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |