14

Johnny Rambo

4yo Gelding · 11-9

Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

27%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up in an eventful Clonmel novice hurdle before going one better in straightforward fashion in a Kilbeggan bumper later in June. Unexposed back hurdling but does have a fair bit to find with the form principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 2m113y Goo 1535/06C8C0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m7f200y Gd 16315/06C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?1st1st0
2026-06-05Clonmel?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0615/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 21
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20262nd40/10%94%+0.94
15/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12