5

Lastofthenatives

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f

#15

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

Unpromising in points and well held both maiden hurdle starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 16610/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?10th10th0
2026-07-03Wexford?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 21
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/202610th300/10%53%+0.53