15
Pinkarizon
4yo Gelding · 11-9
Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f
#12
Rank
Odds
300/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength53%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-04 | Windsor | 5 | +3 | ||
| 2025-06-29 | Ffos Las | 5 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-06-13 | Goodwood | 5 | 13th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 21
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 21.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 23/08/2024 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 15/10/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 09/04/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/05/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/06/2025 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |