8
The Monkey Pole
6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 104
Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA107 | −3 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA110 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Wexford | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 21
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 17/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 05/09/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 27% | -0.41 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |