10

Woodie Wiley

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Cork · Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f

#19

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Only showed a bit in a Bellewstown bumper (effectively his Rules debut) and probably one for the longer term over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 1614/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Bellewstown?7th7th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 21
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20267th40/10%60%+0.60