14

Alentejo

5yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 96

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#19

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden on Flat. Well held at long odds all 3 starts in maiden hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 18/08/2023 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m GS 13318/0845 @ Nottingham 10/05/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m75y Goo 13310/0554 @ Leicester 27/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13027/054C8 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m13y Goo 15826/05C8C8 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f157y Yie 1669/06C8C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 16610/07C8projClass-projected finish: 14th of 20
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?13th13th0
2026-06-09Sligo?9th9th0
2026-05-26Ballinrobe?8th8th0
2024-05-27Leicester43rd3rd0
2024-05-10Nottingham510th10th0
2023-08-18Newbury46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0810/0527/0526/059/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 20
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20236th12/137%0%-0.37
10/05/202410th11/142%10%-0.32
27/05/20243rd50/10%75%+0.75
26/05/20268th80/10%50%+0.50
09/06/20269th80/10%47%+0.47
10/07/202613th80/10%37%+0.37