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20

Ballyminnion Boy

6yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 88

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#20

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to complete both starts in points. Hinted at more ability at times when well held in a trio of maiden hurdles. Open to improvement in handicaps. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 10.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 2m Yie 16628/05C8C8 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f157y Yie 1669/06C8C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 16610/07C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 20
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?8th8th0
2026-06-09Sligo?14th14th0
2026-05-28Limerick?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/059/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 20
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/202610th150/10%47%+0.47
09/06/202614th150/10%13%+0.13
10/07/20268th150/10%63%+0.63