16

Boola Times

5yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 93

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#9

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Inconsistent maiden but one of his better efforts when 7¼ lengths third of 12 to Esticky End in handicap at Wexford 11 days ago. Same mark and now wears first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 26/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 15426/12C8BHA64 @ Punchestown 03/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 64 · 2m44y Hvy 166 · below its mark03/02/2025 · OR 64 parC8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1547/07C8BHA63 @ Galway 01/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 63 · 1m6f14y Yie 133 · below its mark01/08/2025 · OR 63 parBHA98 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 98 · 2m4f50y Goo 162 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 98 par23/0898OR 98BHA96 @ Gowran Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 96 · 2m4f50y Yie 163 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 96 parBHA59 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 20th of 23 · OR 59 · 1m6f Sft 141 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 59 par22/1059OR 59BHA96 @ Fairyhouse 13/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 96 · 2m4f55y Sft 166 · below its mark13/12/2025 · OR 96 parBHA93 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 93 · 2m150y Gd 161 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 93 par23/0793OR 93projClass-projected finish: 5th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA933rd3rd0
2026-04-16LimerickBHA950
2025-12-13FairyhouseBHA967th7th0
2025-10-22NavanBHA5920th20th0
2025-10-04Gowran ParkBHA963rd3rd0
2025-08-23KillarneyBHA9810th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/121/0822/1023/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 20
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 20.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/202410th125/10%40%+0.40
03/02/20259th28/10%47%+0.47
07/07/20255th14/126%73%+0.47
01/08/202514th50/10%13%+0.13
23/08/202510th6/168%36%-0.33
04/10/20253rd10/147%85%+0.37
22/10/202520th28/10%14%+0.14
13/12/20257th16/116%65%+0.49
23/07/20263rd11/142%82%+0.40