IvyArcIvyArc
6

Crowsatedappletart

9yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

37%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Likeable sort who won 3 times over fences last year and kicked off this season in much the same headspace when landing a 10-runner handicap at Wexford in May by 2¼ lengths from Kilbrin Rocco. Potentially thrown in back over hurdles. Respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA92 @ Wexford 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 92 · 2m3f110y Goo 160 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 92 par4/0792OR 92BHA100 @ Wexford 23/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 100 · 2m Gd 168 · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 100 parBHA106 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 106 · 2m3f130y Goo 162 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 106 par6/08106OR 106BHA106 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 106 · 2m1f150y Yie 140 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 106 parBHA106 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 106 · 2m3f100y Goo 162 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 106 par26/09106OR 106BHA109 @ Limerick 19/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 109 · 2m3f50y Yie 142 · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 109 parBHA103 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 103 · 2m Yie 152 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 103 par2/11103OR 103BHA103 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 103 · 2m5f100y Sft 149 · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 103 parBHA117 @ Wexford 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 117 · 2m Goo 157 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 117 par7/05117OR 117projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-07WexfordBHA1171st1st0
2026-04-16LimerickBHA1036th6th0
2025-11-02CorkBHA1037th7th0
2025-10-19LimerickBHA1091st1st0
2025-09-26ListowelBHA1062nd2nd0
2025-09-21ListowelBHA1065th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0721/092/117/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 20
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
23/07/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
06/08/20256th4/179%50%-0.29
21/09/20255th18/15%67%+0.61
26/09/20252nd4/179%93%+0.14
19/10/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
02/11/20257th16/583%40%-0.43
16/04/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
07/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53