9

Diamond Tipp

6yo Mare · 11-4 · OR 102

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#5

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Surpassed bumper form at the first time of asking over hurdles when successful at Downpatrick last summer. Mixed bag in handicaps, with her last 3 efforts, including both starts for current yard, leaving plenty to be desired.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bellewstown 28/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f40y Gd 15828/08C?C0 @ Downpatrick 20/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f165y Gd 159C0 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 16524/04C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 01/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m Goo 161C8 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m1f165y Goo 16114/07C8BHA110 @ Downpatrick 10/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 110 · 2m5f180y Goo 158 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 110 parC8 @ Downpatrick 10/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 108 · 2m1f65y Yie 165 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 108 par10/10C8OR 1083 @ Cheltenham 24/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 113 · 2m87y GS 147 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 113 parBHA106 @ Listowel 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 106 · 2m Yie 165 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 106 par1/06106OR 106projClass-projected finish: 17th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10CorkBHA1040
2026-06-01ListowelBHA1068th8th0
2026-04-05Fairyhouse?0
2025-10-24Cheltenham38th8th0
2025-10-10Downpatrick?3rd3rd0
2025-08-10DownpatrickBHA1103rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/081/0610/101/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 20
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 20.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20242nd2/189%91%+0.01
20/09/20242nd11/271%90%+0.19
24/04/202513th10/382%8%-0.75
01/06/20257th17/255%45%-0.10
14/07/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
10/08/20253rd7/282%33%-0.48
10/10/20253rd11/271%60%-0.11
24/10/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
01/06/20268th13/266%22%-0.44