18

Dictionary Corner

5yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 90

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#17

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered first signs of encouragement over hurdles when sixth of 15 in a mares maiden at this course in May, but she's failed to build on it both outings since, running no sort of race on handicap debut back here last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f Yie 1615/04C8C8 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f50y Goo 16110/05C8C8 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 94 · 2m4f Goo 161 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 94 par16/05C8OR 94projClass-projected finish: 7th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10CorkBHA920
2026-05-16Wexford?6th6th0
2026-05-10Cork?6th6th0
2026-04-05Cork?8th8th0
2025-11-27Thurles?0
2025-11-18Limerick?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0410/0516/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 20
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 20th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/04/20268th300/10%46%+0.46
10/05/20266th150/10%64%+0.64
16/05/20266th11/142%55%+0.12