13
Katherine
9yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 97
Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f
#16
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Stratford | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA89 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA95 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA98 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | BHA100 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA63 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 20
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/09/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 54% | +0.49 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |