7

L'as De Watt

5yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#13

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up on hurdles bow at this course last season but well held in similar events on both outings this term. Type to get back on track now handicapping and any market support will be well worth noting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 07/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m130y Yie 1647/10C?C8 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m Yie 1612/11C8C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f50y Goo 15811/05C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f20y Goo 16631/05C8projClass-projected finish: 16th of 20
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?10th10th0
2026-05-11Killarney?5th5th0
2025-11-02Cork?2nd2nd0
2025-10-07Galway?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/102/1111/0531/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 20
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20257th18/15%14%+0.09
02/11/20252nd66/10%92%+0.92
11/05/20265th50/10%43%+0.43
31/05/202610th12/137%31%-0.06