12
O'grady Cracker
4yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 104
Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA94 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA97 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 20
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 29/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/01/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 14/04/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |