1

Palace Boy

9yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 110

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Did well on all-weather Flat for Ralph Smith in winter 2023/24 but off for 19 months prior to finishing well held at Wolverhampton in December (only start for Barry Brennan). Went with no encouragement returned to this sphere on debut for yet another new yard in April. Wears first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Exeter 12/02/2023 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m161y Gd 15912/0211 @ Cheltenham 14/03/2023 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 125 · 2m87y Sft 161 · below its mark14/03/2023 · OR 125 par5 @ Wolverhampton 27/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 67 · 1m5f219y Std 137 · beat its mark27/12/2023 · OR 67 par27/125OR 674 @ Wolverhampton 19/01/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 77 · 1m5f219y Std 132 · beat its mark19/01/2024 · OR 77 par3 @ Southwell 24/02/2024 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 83 · 2m103y Std 135 · beat its mark24/02/2024 · OR 83 par24/023OR 832 @ Newcastle 29/03/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 85 · 2m56y Std 115 · beat its mark29/03/2024 · OR 85 par3 @ Ascot 11/05/2024 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 85 · 1m3f211y Goo 130 · beat its mark11/05/2024 · OR 85 par11/053OR 854 @ Wolverhampton 08/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 77 · 1m5f219y Std 137 · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 77 parBHA112 @ Clonmel 02/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 112 · 1m7f200y Sft 168 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 112 par2/04112OR 112projClass-projected finish: 18th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-02ClonmelBHA11210th10th0
2025-12-08Wolverhampton46th6th0
2024-05-11Ascot312th12th0
2024-03-29Newcastle27th7th0
2024-02-24Southwell32nd2nd0
2024-01-19Wolverhampton41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0219/0111/052/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 20
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/02/20232nd40/10%80%+0.80
14/03/202313th200/10%8%+0.08
27/12/20231st9/276%100%+0.24
19/01/20241st6/594%100%+0.06
24/02/20242nd11/1094%92%-0.03
29/03/20247th5/174%50%-0.24
11/05/202412th14/126%15%-0.11
08/12/20256th11/142%17%-0.25
02/04/202610th50/10%25%+0.25