19

Scathach

6yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 89

Cork · Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle · 2m 2f

#15

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped with a bit more promise when third in an admittedly weak mares maiden at Sligo in June but failed to build on that from a stiff-looking mark on handicap bow last time. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 26/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 22 · OR - · 2m Yie 15926/12C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 14/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m2f55y Yie 16114/01C8C8 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 90 · 2m4f Goo 161 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 90 par16/05C8OR 90C8 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 90 · 2m1f157y Yie 161 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 90 par9/06C8OR 90BHA90 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m2f160y Goo 161 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 90 par10/0790OR 90projClass-projected finish: 6th of 20
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA906th6th0
2026-06-09Sligo?3rd3rd0
2026-05-16Wexford?8th8th0
2026-02-07Naas?0
2026-01-14Fairyhouse?6th6th0
2025-12-26Leopardstown?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1214/0116/059/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 20
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 17th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/202511th80/10%52%+0.52
14/01/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
16/05/20268th10/382%36%-0.46
09/06/20263rd11/486%80%-0.06
10/07/20266th4/179%67%-0.12