8

Merci Vieil Ami

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Cork · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday August 29th Flat Race · 2m 2f

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Timeform

Commentary

Failed to complete both starts in points and well held on recent bumper debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f119y Gd 16821/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/20268th66/10%42%+0.42