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11

Tale Of Intrigue

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Cork · Curragh To Curragh Charity Cycle On Saturday August 29th Flat Race · 2m 2f

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form when reaching the frame in bumpers at Kilbeggan and Wexford in recent months. Likely to be on the premises if showing up here in similar form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 02/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 1682/05C?C0 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 16113/05C?C0 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f200y Gd 16815/06C?C0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 2m195y Gd 1683/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Wexford?4th4th0
2026-06-15Kilbeggan?3rd3rd0
2026-05-13Punchestown?10th10th0
2026-05-02Punchestown?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0513/0515/063/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/05/202614th80/10%13%+0.13
13/05/202610th150/10%25%+0.25
15/06/20263rd125/10%85%+0.85
03/07/20264th33/10%70%+0.70