21:50 · Emerald Downs

Race 3 - Allowance

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 819/4
Knaughty Knight silks

Hagen, Nina, Hagen, Ronald A And Gibson, Howard F

Knaughty Knight

3yo Filly · 8-9

Barkley - Knight Club (Matty G)

Blake Nunnally60%2/5Howard Gibson70%
517512
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0715/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/01 · mark par19/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%21/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%19/02Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%18/07
Projected finish1st of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
2
OR 869/2
Pearl Blue silks

Petra Lewin

Pearl Blue

4yo Filly · 8-10

Conveyance - Hetty (Cahill Road)

Silvio Amador60%0/1Charles Essex60%
33213
7.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a4/0710/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%4/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%10/08Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 80%23/08Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%6/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%18/07
Projected finish2nd of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
Market Fav4
OR 772/1
Girl At Home silks

Elison, Kenneth And Elison, Vicky Jo

Girl At Home

3yo Filly · 8-9

Om - Deccan Queen (Flatter)

Kevin Krigger60%0/3Debbie Peery
3221
5.0

Class Advantage

3/03 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a3/0310/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/0513/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%3/03Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%10/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%13/06
Projected finish3rd of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 619/1
Shes Vals Barkley silks

Krystal Demoney-hendrickson

Shes Vals Barkley

3yo Filly · 8-6

Barkley - Val De Saire (Harbor The Gold)

Alex Cruz60%1/2Anne Wisdom60%
17
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a16/087/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 677/1
Samarolu silks

Bill Randall

Samarolu

3yo Filly · 8-9

Sungold - Majestic Skyline (Majesticperfection)

Adrian Castellanos60%Mark Cloutier
81
2.0

Class Advantage

6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%6/06
Projected finish5th of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend