7
Classiwest
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 19/11/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |