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4

Ekwanok

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 84

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/10

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 19/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark19/05/2025 · OR 71 par19/05C6OR 71C5 @ Finger Lakes 17/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 71 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 01/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark01/07/2025 · OR 69 par1/07C5OR 69C5 @ Finger Lakes 23/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 70 · 6f 124 · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 70 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 01/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 74 · 1m70y 122 · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 74 par1/09C5OR 74C5 @ Finger Lakes 16/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 1m 122 · beat its mark16/09/2025 · OR 80 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 85 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 85 par3/11C5OR 85C5 @ Finger Lakes 19/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 1m70y 121 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 86 par8/07C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2025-11-19Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2025-11-03Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2025-09-16Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2025-09-01Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2025-07-23Finger Lakes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0523/073/118/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength81%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20251st4/797%100%+0.03
17/06/20252nd10/1195%83%-0.12
01/07/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
23/07/20254th6/168%57%-0.11
01/09/20252nd9/276%80%+0.04
16/09/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
03/11/20252nd11/486%75%-0.11
19/11/20251st2/598%100%+0.02
08/07/20263rd11/1094%67%-0.28