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2

La Indecente

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 67

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength18%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 30/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 57 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 57 par30/09C8OR 57C8 @ Finger Lakes 15/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f 122 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 60 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 12/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 61 · 6f Slo 122 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 61 par12/11C8OR 61C8 @ Finger Lakes 24/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark24/11/2025 · OR 65 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark20/05/2026 · OR 66 par20/05C8OR 66C8 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 6f 122 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 124 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 65 par15/06C8OR 65C8 @ Finger Lakes 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 67 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 6f 122 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 68 par20/07C5OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-29Finger Lakes?5th8th−3
2026-06-15Finger Lakes?2nd5th−3
2026-06-03Finger Lakes?1st4th−3
2026-05-20Finger Lakes?2nd5th−3
2025-11-24Finger Lakes?3rd6th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0924/1115/0620/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
15/10/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
12/11/20253rd33/10%75%+0.75
24/11/20253rd14/126%60%+0.34
20/05/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
03/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
29/06/20265th4/179%33%-0.46
20/07/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71