1
Rumint
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Allowance · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-01-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-12-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-11-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |