5
Raghba
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 85
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 05/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |