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3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 49
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/11/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/01/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |