Mr. Sugar Daddy
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/02/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/05/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |