My Cool Hand Luke
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 80
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 02/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 02/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |