Three Little Birds
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |