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2

Allofasuddenlee

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength92%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 71 par22/09C5OR 71C5 @ Finger Lakes 21/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 73 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 05/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 68 par5/11C5OR 68C5 @ Finger Lakes 17/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/11/2025 · OR 68 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 1m70y Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 67 par26/11C5OR 67C5 @ Finger Lakes 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 4f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 64 par2/06C5OR 64C8 @ Finger Lakes 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 62 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 68 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 68 par14/07C5OR 68projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-06-24Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-02Finger Lakes?7th4th+3
2026-04-27Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2025-11-26Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2025-11-17Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0917/112/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20253rd33/10%67%+0.67
21/10/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
05/11/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
17/11/20253rd25/10%60%+0.60
26/11/20253rd20/10%60%+0.60
27/04/20266th25/10%0%0.00
02/06/20267th14/126%14%-0.12
24/06/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
14/07/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06