5
Not My Type
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 43
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 28/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 25/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |