IvyArcIvyArc
5

Crystal

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 38

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Finger Lakes 08/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 39 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 39 par8/10C9OR 39C9 @ Finger Lakes 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 40 · 6f 124 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 40 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 03/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 40 · 5f110y Gd 124 · below its mark03/11/2025 · OR 40 par3/11C9OR 40C9 @ Finger Lakes 17/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 38 · 6f Slo 124 · beat its mark17/11/2025 · OR 38 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 26/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 38 · 5f110y Slo 124 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 38 par26/11C9OR 38C9 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 35 · 5f Fas 124 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 35 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 41 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 41 par25/05C9OR 41C9 @ Finger Lakes 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 38 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 38 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 39 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 39 par8/07C9OR 39projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-15Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-25Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2025-11-26Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2025-11-17Finger Lakes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1017/1125/058/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20258th14/126%30%+0.04
22/10/20255th10/147%56%+0.08
03/11/20258th10/147%13%-0.35
17/11/20254th25/10%73%+0.73
26/11/20254th14/126%57%+0.31
12/05/20262nd10/382%80%-0.02
25/05/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
15/06/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
08/07/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15