Immortal Poet

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

36%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-12	Saratoga	?	11th	11th	0	1.0
2026-06-04	Saratoga	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2025-10-10	Belmont At The Big A	?	10th	7th	+3	3.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 10

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength46%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/10/2025	10th	9/2	76%	0%	-0.76
04/06/2026	5th	12/1	37%	56%	+0.19
12/07/2026	11th	6/1	68%	9%	-0.59