10
Lady Meringue
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 23
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 02/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |