4
Mayheminthepalace
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 05/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |