1
Profitability
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |