3
Revivalism
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 06/08/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |