6
Stormin Sammy
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 24/11/2025 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |