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6

Keigs

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 30/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 6f 124 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 77 par30/09C8OR 77C8 @ Finger Lakes 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 124 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 13/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 85 · 6f Slo 124 · beat its mark13/11/2025 · OR 85 par13/11C8OR 85C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 93 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark18/02/2026 · OR 89 par18/02C8OR 89C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 92 · 6f 120 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Finger Lakes 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 5f 124 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 90 par11/05C7OR 90C5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 93 · 5f110y 121 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 92 · 6f Gd 121 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 92 par10/06C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-10Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-05-11Finger Lakes?4th6th−2
2026-03-18Tampa Bay Downs?4th6th−2
2026-02-18Tampa Bay Downs?1st4th−3
2026-01-17Tampa Bay Downs?2nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0917/0111/0510/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
28/10/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
13/11/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
17/01/20262nd14/126%88%+0.61
18/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
18/03/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
11/05/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
27/05/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
10/06/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12