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3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 89
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |