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4

Painting Stones

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 79

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 09/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 1219/09C6C6 @ Finger Lakes 14/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 5f110y Slo 121 · beat its mark14/10/2024 · OR 74 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 16/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 124 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 78 par16/07C6OR 78C5 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark05/08/2025 · OR 77 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 27/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 124 · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 78 par27/08C5OR 78C5 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Slo 124 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 79 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 79 par11/05C8OR 79C8 @ Finger Lakes 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 74 · 5f110y Gd 124 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 74 par23/06C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?1st4th−3
2026-06-08Finger Lakes?1st4th−3
2026-05-11Finger Lakes?2nd5th−3
2025-09-22Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2025-08-27Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2025-08-05Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/095/0811/0523/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength80%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20245th5/174%50%-0.24
14/10/20242nd9/276%83%+0.07
16/07/20251st4/797%100%+0.03
05/08/20252nd6/492%80%-0.12
27/08/20252nd11/893%80%-0.13
22/09/20254th10/382%50%-0.32
11/05/20262nd8/1597%83%-0.14
08/06/20261st2/799%100%+0.02
23/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24