High End
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 39
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 22/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 14% | -0.75 |