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9

My Gorgeous

6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 37

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength89%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Saratoga 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 37 · 5f110y Fm 124 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 37 par30/07C9OR 37C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 19/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 39 · 1m3f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 39 parC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 22/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 36 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 36 par22/10C9OR 36C9 @ Finger Lakes 03/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 5f110y Gd 124 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 50 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 19/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 45 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 45 par19/11C6OR 45C6 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 37 · 5f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 37 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 31 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 31 par8/06C6OR 31C6 @ Finger Lakes 22/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 30 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 30 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 35 · 1m 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 35 par7/07C9OR 35projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-22Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-06-08Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2025-11-19Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2025-11-03Finger Lakes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/073/118/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength84%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20257th50/10%25%+0.25
19/09/20259th50/10%0%0.00
22/10/202510th50/10%0%0.00
03/11/20255th10/147%50%+0.03
19/11/20255th25/10%0%0.00
12/05/20265th50/10%43%+0.43
08/06/20266th25/10%0%0.00
22/06/20266th40/10%0%0.00
07/07/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12