1
Secord
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 26
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 07/07/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 29/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 17/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |