7
Spicey Ticey
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 46
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 18/01/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |